It has been my belief for the past three-and-a-half decades (and I am by no means alone) that the next world war will begin in the Middle East. Leaving aside for the nonce the fact that the world war in which we are currently embroiled began in 650 a.d., the current goings-on in Egypt, Yemen, Tunisia and Jordan are extremely worrisome. If, as is entirely too possible, rule of Egypt is secured by the Muslim Brotherhood I see it as highly probable that the other states mentioned above fall into the same sphere shortly thereafter. Adding a nuclear-armed Iran to the mix completes the recipe for disaster.
Under such a situation, the first target of such an alliance will be Israel. Odds are that the mullas in Iran will throw at least one nuke at Israel as part of a coordinated attack. The Israelis will, with no compunction, respond in kind against all her attackers. Since it is a safe bet that Israel has many more nukes than any attacker now, and probably will have more when the fit hits the shan, I would have no desire to be in any Arab state whens it all turns to worms.
And then the fun begins. As the IDF shakes off the first strike, I'd guess against Tel Aviv, and begins a serious arab touchus-kicking, China, Russia and (probably) North Korea will inevitably drawn into supporting their client states. Once that happens, America and such European allies as can be scraped together will perforce step in to help Israel.
At that point the big trick will be to keep the dust-up confined to the Mid-east. That's what everyone wanted in 1914 after the lunatic assassinated Arch-Duke Franz-Ferdinand: to keep hostilities confined to Austria and Hungary; and we all know how well that worked out. Unfortunately, I think that when the Mid-east powder keg blows the result will be the same as when the Guns of August roared.
I have this really ugly premonition that the future is essentially as laid out here. My prayer is that the events don't unfold for at least two years, by which time we should have adult leadership back at the helm.
It's going to get really nasty - right here in River City. Are you ready to defend yourself? Your family? Your community? Your state? Your country? Your world? My belief is that it will come to that. My intent is to do my part. My hope is that America and the American culture will prevail.
Under such a situation, the first target of such an alliance will be Israel. Odds are that the mullas in Iran will throw at least one nuke at Israel as part of a coordinated attack. The Israelis will, with no compunction, respond in kind against all her attackers. Since it is a safe bet that Israel has many more nukes than any attacker now, and probably will have more when the fit hits the shan, I would have no desire to be in any Arab state whens it all turns to worms.
And then the fun begins. As the IDF shakes off the first strike, I'd guess against Tel Aviv, and begins a serious arab touchus-kicking, China, Russia and (probably) North Korea will inevitably drawn into supporting their client states. Once that happens, America and such European allies as can be scraped together will perforce step in to help Israel.
At that point the big trick will be to keep the dust-up confined to the Mid-east. That's what everyone wanted in 1914 after the lunatic assassinated Arch-Duke Franz-Ferdinand: to keep hostilities confined to Austria and Hungary; and we all know how well that worked out. Unfortunately, I think that when the Mid-east powder keg blows the result will be the same as when the Guns of August roared.
I have this really ugly premonition that the future is essentially as laid out here. My prayer is that the events don't unfold for at least two years, by which time we should have adult leadership back at the helm.
It's going to get really nasty - right here in River City. Are you ready to defend yourself? Your family? Your community? Your state? Your country? Your world? My belief is that it will come to that. My intent is to do my part. My hope is that America and the American culture will prevail.
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leftcoast, right winger, on 08 February 2011 - 07:10 PM, said: