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#1 User is offline   pepperonikkid 

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  Posted 15 January 2019 - 09:57 AM

The Conservative Majority and Polls

By Bruce Walker
January 15, 2019


Gallup on January 8 published a poll that showed that conservatives outnumber liberals in America. The most resilient political fact over the last half-century is the clear majority of Americans who identify themselves as "conservative" rather than "liberal." Even California has a conservative advantage, according to some polls. Even CNN exit polls in the 2018 election all show the same thing.

Every single major poll in the last fifty years has shown that conservatives outnumber liberals. What is bizarre about these data is that not only do liberals passionately reject this idea, but so do conservatives, who have become both cynical and depressed and are just as eager to join liberals in rejecting the idea that America is a conservative nation.

The two most conservative presidents of the last century Calvin Coolidge (Reagan's favorite president) and Ronald Reagan were enormous electoral successes. Reagan defeated incumbent Jimmy Carter by an overwhelming majority of the popular vote and by carrying 44 states, including all of the ten biggest. When Reagan ran for re-election, he carried 49 states, and a shift of one tenth of one percent would have given Reagan all fifty.

Coolidge carried almost twice the popular vote of the Democrat nominee, Davis, and although the Solid South gave Davis about one quarter of the electoral votes, the landslide was still dramatic: Coolidge carried the states outside the South, with more than two-to-one landslides in most states. Had Coolidge run for re-election in 1928, he would have likely won by a margin of the popular vote unequaled in the history of our two-party system.

A review of polling data in 2018 shows the same conservative majority. None of the polling organizations is conservative, and all of them are, in fact, pretty clearly hostile to conservatives. CNN did exit polling in the 2018 election, and here are some unexpected findings of the conservative-liberal split in America.

Nationally, CNN found that conservatives outnumber liberals by 36% to 27%. Consider the CNN breakdown in states where Republicans lost key Senate races in 2018: Nevada, 35% conservative and 25% liberal; Montana, 42% conservative and 20% liberal; Ohio, 39% conservative and 21% liberal; Arizona, 40% conservative and 22% liberal...and so on. Republicans consistently won fewer votes than the conservative advantage in the state would have provided.

Survey USA shows that conservatives nationally outnumber liberals by 26% to 21% in America. This is consistent with state polls, which routinely show conservatives as more potent in states than electoral results would suggest.

Indeed, if Republicans won those states and congressional districts in which conservatives outnumbered Democrats, they would have a clear and solid majority in Congress and easy presidential victories. Republicans ought to embrace this and make each race one of conservatives against liberals but Republicans shy away from this and are encouraged to do so by conservatives who simply do not believe that they are the ideological majority in America.

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#2 User is offline   Natural Selection 

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Posted 15 January 2019 - 11:37 AM

View Postpepperonikkid, on 15 January 2019 - 09:57 AM, said:

]Nationally, CNN found that conservatives outnumber liberals by 36% to 27%.

The battle is for the hearts and minds of the remaining 37%.

#3 User is offline   Coach 

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Posted 15 January 2019 - 04:26 PM

Modern polls reflect one thing consistently : You can't govern rationally using opinion snapshots of the mob mentality on a daily basis.

#4 User is offline   zurg 

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Posted 15 January 2019 - 04:33 PM

View PostNatural Selection, on 15 January 2019 - 11:37 AM, said:

The battle is for the hearts and minds of the remaining 37%.

True, but in the absence of other data, its reasonable to assume that the split in the independents would favor conservatives again; at worst it would be about 50-50.

I think what the article really is saying is that republicans have no balls and no uteruses. They are the ones letting us down - the left are the anti-American enemy, but weve known that for a while already.

This post has been edited by zurg: 15 January 2019 - 04:34 PM


#5 User is offline   Ticked@TinselTown 

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Posted 15 January 2019 - 09:40 PM

Which is why leftards have been rigging elections to make sure that they get what they want, not what the voters want.

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