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#1 User is offline   MTP Reggie 

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Posted 09 January 2019 - 08:30 AM

U.S. Still Leans Conservative, but Liberals Keep Recent Gains
BY LYDIA SAAD
JANUARY 8, 2019
Gallup

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WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Americans' assessment of their political ideology was unchanged in 2018 compared with the year prior when 35% on average described themselves as conservative, 35% as moderate and 26% as liberal. Although conservatives continue to outnumber liberals, the gap in conservatives' favor has narrowed from 19 percentage points in Gallup's 1992 baseline measurement to nine points each of the past two years.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/aiqf7sws106tfrpmwupr5g.png


Since 1992, the percentage of Americans identifying as liberal has risen from 17% then to 26% today. This has been mostly offset by a shrinking percentage of moderates, from 43% to 35%. Meanwhile, from 1993 to 2016 the percentage conservative was consistently between 36% and 40%, before dipping to 35% in 2017 and holding at that level in 2018.

These ideology figures are based on combined data from Gallup's monthly GPSS and other standalone surveys conducted each year. The 2018 aggregate includes 13 surveys totaling more than 13,000 national adults.

Majority of Democrats Identify as Liberal for First Time


The percentage of Democrats identifying as liberal averaged 51% in 2018, up from 50% in 2017, marking the first time a majority of Democrats have adopted this term, following gradual increases since the 1990s.

In 1994, nearly half of Democrats described their views as moderate while equal percentages, at 25%, identified themselves as liberal and conservative. That fundamental pattern held until about 2002, during the first half of President George W. Bush's first term in office. From 2002 through 2014 -- spanning the Iraq War under Bush and the Barack Obama presidency -- the liberal share increased approximately one percentage point a year, while the percentages moderate and conservative fell. Since 2014, the percentage of Democrats identifying as liberal has increased at an even faster rate of two points per year on average.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/cxw3b2eitksip2g2__mnow.png


Republicans Remain a Majority Conservative Party

The majority of Republicans has called themselves conservative each year, with most of the rest identifying as moderate. No more than 8% have called themselves liberal on average in any year since 1994.

The percentage of Republicans calling themselves conservative has increased, rising 15 points since 1994. This occurred in two phases:

  • After averaging 61% from 1994 to 2002, the percentage of Republicans identifying as conservative jumped to 66% in 2003 and stayed near that level through 2007.
  • In 2008, a presidential election year that culminated in the race between Obama and John McCain, the percentage of Republicans identifying as conservative rose to 70% and has since ranged from 68% to 73%


The 73% of Republicans identifying as conservative in 2018 matches the high point in the trend, previously recorded in 2012.

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#2 User is offline   grimreefer 

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Posted 09 January 2019 - 09:23 AM

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The percentage of Democrats identifying as liberal averaged 51% in 2018, up from 50% in 2017, marking the first time a majority of Democrats have adopted this term, following gradual increases since the 1990s.

They should forcefully push the progressives/socialists back to the loonier left fringes then... unless, more likely, they're misidentifying themselves as liberal and are really prog/socialists.

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#3 User is offline   Dean Adam Smithee 

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Posted 09 January 2019 - 01:10 PM

I disbelieve these numbers because I don't believe that all who call themselves 'conservative' really ARE, and that many who call themselves 'moderate' are really more liberal.

View PostMTP Reggie, on 09 January 2019 - 08:30 AM, said:

The 73% of Republicans identifying as conservative in 2018 matches the high point in the trend, previously recorded in 2012.


If 73% of Republicans were GENUINELY conservative, the party wouldn't be what it is today.

EtA: "Conservative" is more than just cherry-picking one or two talking points on which to call oneself a conservative. That would be like picking one or two commandments to follow and calling oneself a "Christian".

This post has been edited by Dean Adam Smithee: 09 January 2019 - 01:19 PM

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