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#1 User is offline   erp 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 06:30 AM

My prediction for South Carolina.

Sanders
Biden
Steyer
Klobuchar
Buttigieg
Warren

And Iím iffy on Biden. He very well may come in third.

Yours?

Oh yeah, and Trump has a record turn out for an incumbent. Again. ;)
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#2 User is offline   Wag-a-Muffin (D) 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 09:45 AM

View Posterp, on 12 February 2020 - 06:30 AM, said:

My prediction for South Carolina.

Sanders
Biden
Steyer
Klobuchar
Buttigieg
Warren

And Iím iffy on Biden. He very well may come in third.

Yours?

Oh yeah, and Trump has a record turn out for an incumbent. Again. ;)



Sanders
Klobuchar
Buttigieg
Warren
(and the only Biden that might not come in last place is Joe's wife, Jill.)
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#3 User is online   Dean Adam Smithee 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 10:31 AM

Biden - I still trust the RCP average until proven otherwise.
Klobuchar
Sanders
Warren
Bloomberg (write-in)
Buttigieg
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#4 User is offline   erp 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 01:26 PM

View PostDean Adam Smithee, on 12 February 2020 - 10:31 AM, said:

Biden - I still trust the RCP average until proven otherwise.
Klobuchar
Sanders
Warren
Bloomberg (write-in)
Buttigieg

I just looked at the RCP polls for SC. Those polls were taken before Iowa and New Hampshire. I'm still going with that Biden comes in at second or third.

If he tanks in Nevada, as well, it's over for him after SC.





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#5 User is offline   erp 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 01:39 PM

View PostWag-a-Muffin (D), on 12 February 2020 - 09:45 AM, said:

Sanders
Klobuchar
Buttigieg
Warren
(and the only Biden that might not come in last place is Joe's wife, Jill.)


Steyer actual has some traction in South Carolina. He's getting it from people leaving Biden.

South Carolina is were Bittigieg gets slowed down and Biden knocked off. Warren is already done, but she has money to carry on. Biden does not. By default, Klobuchar gets a lift, but it will be short lived and she is gone after Super Tuesday.

Then enters Bloomberg. He is either victorious on Super Tuesday, or DOA. He has only one shot.
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#6 User is online   Dean Adam Smithee 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 02:45 PM

View Posterp, on 12 February 2020 - 01:26 PM, said:

I just looked at the RCP polls for SC. Those polls were taken before Iowa and New Hampshire. I'm still going with that Biden comes in at second or third.

If he tanks in Nevada, as well, it's over for him after SC.


I don't think IA and NH hurt Biden all that much because nobody expected him to win, including himself. SC is different because it's the first state where he's been predicted to not only win but win hugely. If he doesn't, he's toast. He might be able to squeak by with 2nd or 3rd but only if it's such a really close 2nd or 3rd as to be almost a tie.
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#7 User is offline   erp 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 02:58 PM

View PostDean Adam Smithee, on 12 February 2020 - 02:45 PM, said:

I don't think IA and NH hurt Biden all that much because nobody expected him to win, including himself. SC is different because it's the first state where he's been predicted to not only win but win hugely. If he doesn't, he's toast. He might be able to squeak by with 2nd or 3rd but only if it's such a really close 2nd or 3rd as to be almost a tie.

I respectfully disagree. Biden is damaged goods now. It would be different if he placed second, or even a strong third. But he was washed out in both races. Heck, he was even beaten by Klobocomb.

Because is done. After Super a Tuesday, he drops out. The man is also out of money. And he absolutely sucks at getting free press.
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#8 User is offline   Coach 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 03:36 PM

From here on out it matters not what any of these clowns do. Bernie will stay in front, Bloomberg will buy the rest of the democrat voters. There is no telling what will happen at their convention.

In the meantime the president's organization will sign up new voters and converted democrats while building a slate of new candidates for the House and Senate.

As usual the media, including FOX, is focused on the last campaign and will be blindsided by what happens November 3.
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Posted 12 February 2020 - 07:07 PM

View PostCoach, on 12 February 2020 - 03:36 PM, said:

From here on out it matters not what any of these clowns do. Bernie will stay in front, Bloomberg will buy the rest of the democrat voters. There is no telling what will happen at their convention.

In the meantime the president's organization will sign up new voters and converted democrats while building a slate of new candidates for the House and Senate.

As usual the media, including FOX, is focused on the last campaign and will be blindsided by what happens November 3.

It may not matter, but it sure is fun to watch. ;)
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#10 User is online   Dean Adam Smithee 

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Posted 12 February 2020 - 07:14 PM

View PostCoach, on 12 February 2020 - 03:36 PM, said:

From here on out it matters not what any of these clowns do. Bernie will stay in front, Bloomberg will buy the rest of the democrat voters. There is no telling what will happen at their convention.

In the meantime the president's organization will sign up new voters and converted democrats while building a slate of new candidates for the House and Senate.

As usual the media, including FOX, is focused on the last campaign and will be blindsided by what happens November 3.


Trumps gonna win. Yes, of course. But a gazillion column-inches need to be written between now and then just to keep the Pundits employed.
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