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pepperonikkid

Oxford Economics Election Model Predicts A Landslide November Victory — For Joe Biden

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pepperonikkid

Oxford Economics Election Model Predicts A Landslide November Victory — For Joe Biden

 

https://thefreedomflag.com

May 28, 2020

 

Article:

 

President Donald Trump is going to lose November’s election by a landslide if the economy doesn’t improve quickly.

That’s the prediction of an Oxford Economics election model that was released Wednesday. The model predicted a “historic defeat” for Trump, who once could count on the economy as a top political asset. Now, though, with the coronavirus pandemic raging on, it has flipped to being one of his largest weaknesses.

The Oxford Economics model uses only financial measures to forecast November’s election results — taking disposable income, inflation and unemployment into account. With those metrics, the model predicts Trump will win only 35% of the popular vote. Before the coronavirus outbreak, the same model predicted he would capture roughly 55% of the popular vote.

If these numbers hold true, it would mark the worst poll results for an incumbent president in more than 100 years.

The report read, in part:

“It would take nothing short of an economic miracle for pocketbooks to favor Trump.” It added that the economy would be a “nearly insurmountable obstacle for Trump come November.”

While the Oxford Economics poll uses only economic data, it has correctly predicted the outcome of the popular vote in every presidential election since 1948 except for two — in 1968 and 1976.

A president doesn’t need to win the popular vote to win the election, of course, and two candidates in that time period did exactly that — George W. Bush in 2000 and Trump himself in 2016.

Trump captured 306 electoral votes that year compared to Democrat Hillary Clinton’s 232. Trump may have lost the popular vote to Clinton in 2016, but it wasn’t by a huge margin. Clinton won 48% of the popular vote compared to Trump’s 45.9%.


 

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Taggart Transcontinental
24 minutes ago, pepperonikkid said:

Oxford Economics Election Model Predicts A Landslide November Victory — For Joe Biden

 

https://thefreedomflag.com

May 28, 2020

 

Article:

 

President Donald Trump is going to lose November’s election by a landslide if the economy doesn’t improve quickly.

That’s the prediction of an Oxford Economics election model that was released Wednesday. The model predicted a “historic defeat” for Trump, who once could count on the economy as a top political asset. Now, though, with the coronavirus pandemic raging on, it has flipped to being one of his largest weaknesses.

The Oxford Economics model uses only financial measures to forecast November’s election results — taking disposable income, inflation and unemployment into account. With those metrics, the model predicts Trump will win only 35% of the popular vote. Before the coronavirus outbreak, the same model predicted he would capture roughly 55% of the popular vote.

If these numbers hold true, it would mark the worst poll results for an incumbent president in more than 100 years.

The report read, in part:

“It would take nothing short of an economic miracle for pocketbooks to favor Trump.” It added that the economy would be a “nearly insurmountable obstacle for Trump come November.”

While the Oxford Economics poll uses only economic data, it has correctly predicted the outcome of the popular vote in every presidential election since 1948 except for two — in 1968 and 1976.

A president doesn’t need to win the popular vote to win the election, of course, and two candidates in that time period did exactly that — George W. Bush in 2000 and Trump himself in 2016.

Trump captured 306 electoral votes that year compared to Democrat Hillary Clinton’s 232. Trump may have lost the popular vote to Clinton in 2016, but it wasn’t by a huge margin. Clinton won 48% of the popular vote compared to Trump’s 45.9%.


 

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Anyone believe this crap? I certainly don't. If this were a normal election cycle I would agree, but with the Dem-panic this crap can't be anywhere near real.

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Ticked@TinselTown

Maybe they know somebody who is certain they have full control of the voting machinery to make it so?

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ASE

Economic recovery or not, what has creepy-unca'-joe done to show that he deserves the job?  Hell, I'd rather vote for an unqualified dog-catcher than a known liar/perv/criminal/china-loving/alzheimer's sufferer like old 'quid-pro-joe'.

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MontyPython

"President Donald Trump is going to lose November’s election by a landslide if the economy doesn’t improve quickly.

That’s the prediction of an Oxford Economics election model that was released Wednesday. The model predicted a “historic defeat” for Trump, who once could count on the economy as a top political asset. Now, though, with the coronavirus pandemic raging on, it has flipped to being one of his largest weaknesses."

And that's exactly why the Democrats are working so hard against economic recovery: Because they are hoping that the more American lives, jobs, careers, life-savings, futures, etc are destroyed, the more likely they'll win in November. They're no better than ghouls. Political power is more important to them than millions of destroyed lives.

<_<<_<<_< 

 

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Noclevermoniker
6 hours ago, MontyPython said:

"President Donald Trump is going to lose November’s election by a landslide if the economy doesn’t improve quickly.

That’s the prediction of an Oxford Economics election model that was released Wednesday. The model predicted a “historic defeat” for Trump, who once could count on the economy as a top political asset. Now, though, with the coronavirus pandemic raging on, it has flipped to being one of his largest weaknesses."

And that's exactly why the Democrats are working so hard against economic recovery: Because they are hoping that the more American lives, jobs, careers, life-savings, futures, etc are destroyed, the more likely they'll win in November. They're no better than ghouls. Political power is more important to them than millions of destroyed lives.

<_<<_<<_< 

 

I wonder what their prediction was in 2016...

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MontyPython
48 minutes ago, Noclevermoniker said:

I wonder what their prediction was in 2016...

:giggle:

;)

 

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zurg

People who do analysis like this are really stupid. Oh, the economy is bad. Oh, who’s pres? Trump? Okay, his fault! 
 

Idiots. Like the average voter doesn’t understand that the economy was near the best ever, lowest unemployment, etc., until what happened? Has anyone heard about the “coronavirus”? Then things shut down. We didn’t have economic weakness and manufacturing weakness and consumer lack of confidence and investor skepticism...we had none of that. We just shut it down, and basically both sides agreed we do that. If anything, democrats are saying Trump didn’t hurt the economy enough! 
 

So these idiot forecasters don’t understand that voters aren’t THAT stupid? They know this wasn’t Trump’s fault. If anything, they know that Trump will get the recovery to happen way better than Biden. I expect the result to be the EXACT opposite of this idiotic “prediction”. 
 

I know the WANT Biden to win, so try to influence public opinion, but this is just over the top ridiculous. 

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Confessor

Time for the libtards to start forecasting disaster for President Trump.  To loosely quote Joey Plugs “If you don’t see the corruption in the demoncrat party, you must not be alive”. 
 

Deja vu, wasn’t this in 2016?

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